Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 2.139519 2.440191 2.767911 3.151646 3.588717 4.071125 4.644128
2025-09-07 1.647594 2.049706 2.526960 3.135274 3.890430 4.797713 5.971752
2025-09-14 1.356795 1.791877 2.339408 3.079273 4.053809 5.295074 6.998951
2025-09-21 1.163552 1.613882 2.208490 3.051430 4.217088 5.774684 8.019036
2025-09-28 1.010830 1.462985 2.085409 3.005288 4.332218 6.180656 8.958703
2025-10-05 0.964022 1.449527 2.143322 3.207721 4.802455 7.108506 10.707996
2025-10-12 0.876850 1.365191 2.087254 3.233469 5.011266 7.671221 11.969169
2025-10-19 0.824919 1.326460 2.091846 3.345861 5.354260 8.455734 13.630336
2025-10-26 0.750351 1.243502 2.018639 3.326734 5.485536 8.919252 14.822580
2025-11-02 0.687484 1.172193 1.955577 3.314979 5.622850 9.397453 16.073156
2025-11-09 0.622791 1.090921 1.867750 3.251919 5.665762 9.719477 17.083986
2025-11-16 0.584271 1.050152 1.842989 3.291837 5.884096 10.348807 18.670887
2025-11-23 0.543554 1.005444 1.813900 3.333539 6.131356 11.087836 20.595072
2025-11-30 0.496388 0.944971 1.752530 3.313922 6.272090 11.662540 22.303061
2025-12-07 0.449613 0.879719 1.675068 3.254827 6.330684 12.088494 23.769729
2025-12-14 0.412193 0.828032 1.617072 3.225389 6.440157 12.615690 25.478657
2025-12-21 0.376657 0.776081 1.553012 3.176610 6.505027 13.060145 27.064529
2025-12-28 0.373826 0.789448 1.617592 3.390611 7.115699 14.631669 31.089455
2026-01-04 0.351309 0.759714 1.592587 3.417829 7.344507 15.454167 33.639106
2026-01-11 0.339620 0.751537 1.610693 3.536644 7.776235 16.732505 37.284507
2026-01-18 0.316148 0.715368 1.566395 3.516425 7.905606 17.383391 39.623821
2026-01-25 0.295464 0.683229 1.527560 3.503998 8.050031 18.078236 42.128200
2026-02-01 0.272309 0.643122 1.467376 3.437334 8.064997 18.487496 44.018517